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Last updated October 17, 2026Question 1 of a weekly column; mortgage rate from Freddie Mac (week of October 15, 2026)About a 4-minute read

This week’s question

“Should I wait for rates to drop before I buy?”

Ahmed’s short answer: if you can afford a bigger down payment, with 20% or more as the goal, and the monthly payment fits your budget, buy. Waiting is okay, but if rates fall, prices can rise with them, so what you save on the rate you may pay back in a higher price. The rule is the same whether rates are 6% or 8%. Read the full answer or try your own numbers.

This week’s answer, by the numbers

The latest rate updates every Thursday from Freddie Mac; payment examples worked out below

7.40%Latest U.S. average 30-year fixed mortgage rate1Week of Oct 15, 2026
7.40%The same average the week Ahmed answered, October 15, 20261
20%+The down payment Ahmed tells buyers to aim for when rates are high
$520A month less in principal and interest with 20% down instead of 10%, on a $750,000 example home at the latest rate2

The $750,000 home is an example price for the arithmetic, not a market figure. Payments are principal and interest on a 30-year fixed loan; taxes, insurance and mortgage insurance are not included.

Question 1 · October 17, 2026

“Should I wait for rates to drop before I buy?”

A buyer asked. Ahmed’s answer, from his voice note.

If you can afford a larger down payment, one that brings your monthly payment to a level you’re comfortable with, go ahead and buy.

Waiting is fine, too. But picture this: you wait a year, rates come down, and home prices go up. The money you hoped to save on interest ends up going into a higher price, either because more buyers are competing or because prices simply rose.

It’s a 50-50 call. Renting can work as a temporary solution. But as a family grows, it needs more space, a different area, or the schools it wants. In the end, it comes down to your finances.

My rule of thumb when rates are high: put down as much as you comfortably can. A bigger down payment means less interest and a lower monthly payment. Aim for 20% or more. And buy a home you can live in comfortably, without stretching past your budget.

Ahmed Makkiyah, REALTOR®

Try your own numbers

Wait a year for a lower rate, or buy now?

Move the sliders. The example starts at a $750,000 home, 20% down and the latest average rate,1 then asks what happens if the rate falls half a point in a year while prices rise 3%. Those two are guesses, not forecasts: set them to your own.

Buy now

$4,154a month

Price $750,000 · down $150,000

Wait a year

$4,070a month

Price $772,500 · down $154,500

Waiting savescosts $84 a month, and the house costs $22,500 moreless, with $4,500 moreless down.

Principal and interest on a 30-year fixed loan, worked out with the standard loan formula.2 Not included: property taxes, insurance, HOA dues, mortgage insurance (usually charged with less than 20% down), and the rent you pay while you wait. This is arithmetic, not a loan offer.

From this answer

Ahmed’s rules of thumb when rates are high.

20%+

Aim for 20% down or more

A bigger down payment means a smaller loan, less interest and a lower monthly payment.

Budget

Stay under your budget

Buy a house you can comfortably live in, not the most the bank will lend.

50-50

Nobody knows the rate next year

If rates fall, more buyers come back and prices can rise, so the savings may not last.

Rent

Renting can be a bridge

A rental can work for a while, until the family needs more space, a different area or a school.

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About the column

How Ask Ahmed works.

What is Ask Ahmed?

A weekly column where Ahmed Makkiyah, a Northern Virginia REALTOR® with Douglas Realty of Virginia, answers one real question from a buyer, seller or renter. Each answer is in English and in full Arabic.

How do I send a question?

Use the message form on this page, or text or WhatsApp 734.383.6945. Ask about buying, selling, renting, a town or the market in Northern Virginia.

Will my name be published?

No. Questions are published without names or anything that could identify you.

Should I wait for mortgage rates to drop before buying a home?

Ahmed’s answer: if you can put 20% or more down and the monthly payment fits your budget, buying now is reasonable, because if rates fall, prices can rise with more buyers competing. Waiting is okay too, and renting can be a temporary bridge; it depends on your finances and your family’s needs. When he answered, the average 30-year fixed rate was 7.40% (week of October 15, 2026, Freddie Mac); the rule is the same at any rate.

Your question

Send me your question. It could be next week’s answer.

Ask about buying, selling, renting or a town. I answer in English or Arabic, and I never publish your name.

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