Fairfax County, Virginia · 1975–2026

51 years of Fairfax County home prices.

What waiting actually cost.

Two short videos, the numbers behind them, and the one thing the headline gets wrong. In English and Arabic, from a Northern Virginia REALTOR® who reads the data before he reads the mood.

The data

Waiting ten years cost $326,000.

That is the average. The average hides the interesting part.

71 seconds. Freddie Mac PMMS, Bright MLS, Fairfax County. Watch on YouTube.

Fifty-one years of Fairfax County home prices, 1975 to today, plotted year by year: red when prices rose, blue when they fell. The series has exactly one sustained decline. In 2008 the county median dropped about 20% from its peak, and it took roughly thirteen years to fully recover.

Ten years of waiting, measured against real Bright MLS sales, cost about $326,000 on average. But a single-family home rose closer to $536,000 over those ten years, and a townhome about $250,000. Seven real 2026 sales in Fairfax City show what each of those numbers buys today.

Here is the twist. Over the period, the price rose 67% — but the monthly payment rose 128%. The mortgage rate did that, not the price. The same series shows the rate at 16.6% in 1981 and at 2.96% at its low; the payment on a Fairfax home has always moved more with the rate than with the sticker.

The numbers

Six figures worth remembering.

$326,000Average cost of waiting ten years, all home types
+$536,000Single-family, same ten years
+$250,000Townhome, same ten years
+67% priceversus +128% monthly payment over the period
−20%2008 decline from peak · about 13 years to recover
16.6% → 2.96%Mortgage rate, 1981 peak to the low (Freddie Mac PMMS)

Payments assume 20% down, principal and interest only. Estimates, not appraisals. County median sale price in August 2026: $845K.1

The house

One house. Same spot. 51 years.

The house that watched everyone wait.

Same brick house in Fairfax County, five eras. A station wagon in the driveway, then a sedan in the snow, then a minivan with a satellite dish, then two electric cars charging at the curb. Five families. In every era, somebody was waiting for the right time.

The house never waited. Prices did the moving. Watch it as the companion to the numbers above: the film is the feeling, the data Short is the receipt.

73 seconds, no narration. Watch on YouTube.

Questions

Buy now, or wait.

How much did waiting ten years to buy a home in Fairfax County cost?

On average, about $326,000 in price appreciation alone, based on Bright MLS sale data. Single-family homes rose roughly $536,000 over the ten years; townhomes rose roughly $250,000. These are estimates, not appraisals.

Why did the monthly payment rise more than the price?

Prices rose about 67%, but the monthly payment rose about 128%. The difference is the mortgage rate. Payments are calculated with 20% down, principal and interest only, using Freddie Mac PMMS rates. The rate moved the payment more than the price did.

What happened to Fairfax County home prices in 2008?

Prices fell about 20% from the peak, and it took roughly thirteen years for the county median to fully recover. It is the only sustained decline in the 51-year series from 1975 to 2026.

Should I buy in Fairfax County now or wait?

It depends on your numbers, not the headline. The 51-year data shows that time in the market beat timing the market, but your down payment, rate, and how long you will stay matter more than any average. Ahmed runs your actual numbers in a free consultation, in English or Arabic.

Run your own numbers.

Moving to Northern Virginia, or stuck between buy now and wait. Send the situation; get the math back, not a pitch.

Book your free consultation Save my contact bit.ly/callahmed · English and Arabic

Your Trusted Realtor in NOVA.

أسعار البيوت في أمريكا · مقاطعة فيرفاكس

51 سنة من أسعار البيوت في مقاطعة فيرفاكس.

شنو كلّف الانتظار فعلاً.

51 سنة من أسعار البيوت في مقاطعة فيرفاكس بشمال فرجينيا، من 1975 لليوم، سنة بسنة. بالسلسلة كلها أكو نزول واحد بس: سنة 2008 نزلت الأسعار حوالي 20% من القمة، وأخذت حوالي 13 سنة حتى ترجع.

الانتظار عشر سنوات كلّف بالمعدل حوالي 326,000 دولار. بس البيت المستقل ارتفع حوالي 536,000 دولار بنفس العشر سنوات، والتاون هاوس حوالي 250,000 دولار.

والمفاجأة: السعر ارتفع 67%، بس القسط الشهري ارتفع 128%. الفائدة سوّت هذا، مو السعر. الفائدة كانت 16.6% سنة 1981 ونزلت لـ 2.96% بأوطأ نقطة — القسط دايماً يتحرك مع الفائدة أكثر من ما يتحرك مع السعر.

$326,000معدل كلفة الانتظار عشر سنوات
+$536,000البيت المستقل، نفس العشر سنوات
+$250,000التاون هاوس، نفس العشر سنوات
+67% / +128%السعر مقابل القسط الشهري

تفكّر تنتقل لشمال فرجينيا، أو محتار تشتري هسه لو تنتظر؟ دزّلي وضعك وأحسب أرقامك الحقيقية وياك — بالعربي أو بالإنجليزي.

احجز استشارتك المجانية

وكيلك العقاري الموثوق بشمال فرجينيا.

المصادر: Freddie Mac PMMS، Bright MLS، مقاطعة فيرفاكس. تقديرات، مو تثمين. الأقساط محسوبة على دفعة أولى 20%، أصل وفائدة بس.